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15 Apr

Gold Collapse Quickly Yields Target Objective

Following the February long-term sell signal, and the secondary signal elicited at the end of last week (Friday, April 12), Comex Gold (June) is very close to testing its 1353.30, 3-5 week target objective, which can contain selling through May activity. Keep in mind we expect the 1285.60 – 1303.90 region over the next 8-12 weeks (days?), with later 1213 allowing 1086.50.

What’s more, the active Gold ETF (symbol GLD), has slipped through it’s near-term 133.96 target, with a daily settlement below 133.96 allowing 123.85 – 125.67 within the week (given heightened volatility), able to contain selling through May, possibly into summer trade.

The newsletter and video contained within the previous post shows all the technical details. Stay tuned!

15 Apr

Weekly Gold Analysis For April 15, 2013

Last week’s Gold sell-off elicited a secondary sell signal in both COMEX Gold as well as the GLD ETF that should continue to play out over the next 3-5 weeks. This occurred within the context of February’s long-term sell signal that is expected to weigh on this market into later year.

The printable PDF newsletter lower left provides this week’s key support and resistance levels and relevant near-term charting for both Comex Gold (June) and the GLD, while the 10 minute video just below it provides full commentary, and a deeper level of long-term analysis not available within the printable letter. The video is expandable to full-screen.

If you have any questions shoot us an e-mail, or if you’d like a free trial in the Weekly Gold Letter either send an e-mail, or fill out the free trial form at right (please mention “Gold” in the additional comments field). Thanks!

Weekly Gold Letter

 

12 Apr

ETF Market Report April 2013: The Bond Bubble

As interest rates have declined over the last several years to historic lows, financial speculation has grown concerning the existence and eventual puncturing of a “bond price bubble”.  The April ETF Market Report analyzes both mid and long term US Treasuries, US Corporate Bonds, and provides an update on last month’s Mortgage Backed Security market, all in an effort to not only determine when the so-called bubble will burst, but whether it actually exists.

In the eight minute video below Cary Artac  illustrates key support in the above markets, all of which find popular, high-volume counterparts in the growing universe of exchange traded funds.  In the video we provide the downside trigger-points for possible bond market price-collapse into later year. While they have yet to occur, each market is nevertheless trading very close to key support – above which each bond fund remains bullish into later year, and below which an institutional migration away from fixed income and into larger equity holdings would be expected through the balance of 2013.

     Have a “look see”, and if you’re interested in viewing the current, nine-page print edition of our monthly ETF Market Report (April 2013), just fill out our free trial form at right and we’ll be happy to provide the April letter at no cost or obligation. Thanks for visiting!

11 Mar

ETF Market Report March 2013: Mortgage Rates and Real Estate Trends

Despite a rising 15-30 Year mortgage rate market since last September, the US real estate market has performed well over the same time horizon, with the iShares Trust Dow Jones US Real Estate Index ETF (symbol: IYR) continuing to push to new post-2009 highs. Over the same six months, the iShares Barclays Mortgage Backed Securities ETF (symbol: MBB) has trended lower, inverse to the present rising-mortgage-rate scenario. In this month’s eight page ETF Market Report, we headline with both popular ETF’s, examining the “tipping points” for each market as we look ahead to later 2013.

The five-minute video below quickly cuts to chase, as Cary Artac walks you through the trend-analysis in both high-volume ETF’s. This should be considered time well spent for anyone who may have added, or are considering adding, these popular exchange traded funds to their investment portfolio. We encourage you to email us with any questions you may have. Thanks for visiting!

12 Feb

ETF Market Report February 2013: Long Term US Equity Buy Signals

At the end of January the SP-500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 indexes all managed to settle above key resistance thresholds that encompass over 10 years of historical activity. Because these buy signals are so recent they exist in a “fragile” state, and consequently February needs to make bullish headway; at least settling positive on the month. If so, then we can begin to make clear assumptions regarding the broader US stock market’s 3-5 year directional dynamic.

Yes, the underlying economy will seek its own course over the next several years, and may indeed lethargically plod along as it has the last several. Yet concerning the US stock market itself, we appear to be on the precipice of a secondary bull run that may carry us into later decade. The breadth and sustainability of this move may well duplicate that of the post-March 2009 bull run to present.

The beauty of growing ETF popularity presents any investor the opportunity to harness the longer-term bullish effects that these buy signals are implying.  As you’re probably already aware, all three of the indexes mentioned (SP-500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000) find their equivalent counterparts in the growing universe of exchange traded products.  As they say, a picture is worth 10,000 words, and to spare you the need to read 20 pages of text I’ve created a video that illustrates and underscores the three buy signals mentioned above, both within the individual ETF’s as well as the underlying indexes to which they’re associated. The video is informative and gets right to the point; twleve minutes of time you’ll probably find worth spending.

Keep in mind we offer a one-month free trial on our monthly ETF Market Report,  and two-weeks free trial for any daily futures newsletters. Just fill in the free trial form at the right and you’ll begin receiving the requested analysis within 24 hours. Thanks for visiting!